⚡ Band Forecast experimental

North West England (region G) — predicted FreePhase band rates

This is a test page and is not part of any FPRates' daily price calculations.
These are model predictions, not EDF's published rates. There are three seperate models running, with the '2-year, price/gas ratio' being the latest test model added.

Day	Green 23:00–06:00	Amber (all) 06:00–16:00, 19:00–23:00	Red 16:00–19:00	Amber 06:00–10:00	Amber 10:00–16:00	Amber 19:00–23:00
2026-10-12 d+2	26.8p £145/MWh ±1.6p	34.7p £183/MWh ±4.2p	52.0p £213/MWh ±2.2p	36.1p £190/MWh ±2.7p	35.2p £185/MWh ±8.1p	32.6p £173/MWh ±2.1p
2026-10-13 d+3	20.2p £113/MWh ±2.0p	28.4p £152/MWh ±4.2p	47.7p £192/MWh ±2.4p	31.0p £165/MWh ±2.9p	23.7p £130/MWh ±7.8p	32.8p £174/MWh ±2.7p
2026-10-14 d+4	26.8p £145/MWh ±2.3p	29.5p £158/MWh ±4.5p	49.5p £201/MWh ±2.7p	34.9p £184/MWh ±3.2p	24.5p £134/MWh ±8.7p	31.8p £169/MWh ±2.6p
2026-10-15 d+5	19.4p £109/MWh ±2.3p	31.2p £166/MWh ±5.1p	49.0p £198/MWh ±3.2p	31.6p £168/MWh ±4.6p	28.3p £152/MWh ±9.9p	35.4p £186/MWh ±2.7p
2026-10-16 d+6	29.2p £156/MWh untested horizon	32.5p £172/MWh untested horizon	48.6p £197/MWh untested horizon	34.9p £184/MWh untested horizon	29.7p £159/MWh untested horizon	34.4p £182/MWh untested horizon
2026-10-17 d+7	—	—	—	28.1p £151/MWh untested horizon	—	—

Forecast vintage: 2026-10-10T11:25:02Z. The ± figure is the measured mean absolute error for that band at that horizon, from testing against 14 days the model had never seen. Rates use the current dated VAT and GD coefficients and are floored at zero. The ± figure is only shown for region G, the region the model was tested against.

Tomorrow appears here only until the N2EX day-ahead auction clears (around 10am), after which it drops off — that day is then a known price rather than a prediction. Rows beyond d+5 are shown without a ± figure because the model has not been tested that far ahead. These are estimates, and are replaced by the actual rates once released. Treat them as an indication of the likely prices.

Track record

What the model said two days ahead, against what the auction actually cleared.

Day	Green 23:00–06:00	Amber (all) 06:00–16:00, 19:00–23:00	Red 16:00–19:00	Amber 06:00–10:00	Amber 10:00–16:00	Amber 19:00–23:00
2026-10-11	13.6p said 24.2p +10.6p	31.5p said 30.3p -1.2p	51.7p said 48.9p -2.8p	25.5p said 27.1p +1.5p	32.7p said 29.2p -3.5p	35.7p said 35.3p -0.4p
2026-10-10	0.0p said 9.1p +9.1p	4.9p said 6.8p +2.0p	28.4p said 32.5p +4.1p	2.0p said 4.0p +2.0p	0.0p said 0.0p +0.0p	19.0p said 26.9p +7.9p
2026-10-09	13.0p said 14.8p +1.8p	11.5p said 22.0p +10.4p	27.0p said 43.7p +16.8p	19.9p said 21.7p +1.8p	6.6p said 17.4p +10.8p	10.5p said 29.1p +18.6p
2026-10-08	19.0p said 25.7p +6.7p	25.0p said 29.5p +4.5p	44.4p said 48.3p +3.9p	28.5p said 30.7p +2.3p	20.0p said 26.1p +6.0p	29.0p said 33.3p +4.4p
2026-10-07	29.0p said 29.7p +0.7p	30.1p said 33.3p +3.2p	46.7p said 47.6p +0.9p	36.8p said 37.3p +0.5p	26.4p said 31.8p +5.4p	29.1p said 31.5p +2.5p
2026-10-06	26.5p said 29.9p +3.4p	31.9p said 35.8p +3.8p	57.5p said 57.5p +0.0p	35.7p said 37.8p +2.2p	25.0p said 32.3p +7.3p	38.6p said 39.0p +0.4p
2026-10-05	24.0p said 23.0p -1.0p	25.2p said 27.5p +2.2p	44.6p said 46.7p +2.1p	30.8p said 31.0p +0.3p	16.1p said 20.0p +3.9p	33.4p said 35.0p +1.6p
2026-10-04	29.2p said 27.3p -1.9p	23.0p said 23.4p +0.4p	45.1p said 46.6p +1.5p	28.2p said 24.2p -4.0p	13.4p said 15.1p +1.8p	32.1p said 34.9p +2.8p
2026-10-03	26.9p said 26.5p -0.4p	28.3p said 29.4p +1.0p	46.3p said 45.6p -0.7p	30.4p said 28.1p -2.3p	23.8p said 27.2p +3.4p	33.1p said 33.9p +0.9p
2026-10-02	27.2p said 26.0p -1.2p	29.6p said 26.5p -3.1p	42.6p said 45.5p +2.9p	35.6p said 30.0p -5.5p	24.3p said 20.6p -3.7p	31.6p said 31.7p +0.2p
2026-10-01	25.6p said 24.8p -0.8p	29.8p said 28.3p -1.5p	47.0p said 44.2p -2.8p	33.4p said 30.8p -2.6p	25.4p said 24.7p -0.6p	32.8p said 31.1p -1.6p
2026-09-30	12.8p said 8.8p -4.0p	25.8p said 22.0p -3.7p	44.9p said 44.4p -0.5p	28.3p said 24.0p -4.4p	18.9p said 13.3p -5.6p	33.5p said 33.2p -0.3p
2026-09-29	29.8p said 28.1p -1.7p	25.1p said 28.1p +3.1p	46.7p said 47.6p +1.0p	33.5p said 35.8p +2.3p	17.7p said 23.2p +5.5p	27.7p said 27.8p +0.1p
2026-09-28	28.9p said 26.8p -2.1p	33.6p said 31.5p -2.1p	60.1p said 50.0p -10.1p	38.4p said 35.0p -3.3p	26.2p said 26.4p +0.2p	39.8p said 35.6p -4.1p
2026-09-27	27.9p said 23.0p -4.9p	12.4p said 16.1p +3.8p	39.1p said 43.1p +4.0p	14.3p said 11.3p -3.0p	0.0p said 6.4p +6.4p	31.6p said 35.4p +3.8p
2026-09-26	29.3p said 24.6p -4.6p	20.4p said 21.1p +0.7p	44.8p said 40.9p -3.8p	26.6p said 21.7p -4.9p	8.1p said 13.0p +4.9p	32.6p said 32.4p -0.1p
2026-09-25	27.6p said 28.8p +1.2p	31.7p said 32.8p +1.1p	50.7p said 48.6p -2.1p	34.9p said 33.9p -1.0p	26.6p said 30.1p +3.5p	36.3p said 35.7p -0.5p
2026-09-24	27.7p said 30.7p +3.0p	28.7p said 31.7p +2.9p	45.1p said 49.2p +4.1p	34.3p said 35.8p +1.4p	21.8p said 26.1p +4.2p	33.5p said 36.0p +2.5p
2026-09-23	29.9p said 33.2p +3.3p	30.8p said 34.7p +4.0p	46.3p said 50.0p +3.7p	33.9p said 39.2p +5.3p	26.4p said 28.4p +2.0p	34.2p said 39.8p +5.5p
2026-09-22	30.5p said 32.5p +2.0p	39.0p said 37.5p -1.5p	75.5p said 57.1p -18.3p	37.6p said 39.6p +2.0p	29.4p said 32.5p +3.1p	54.8p said 42.9p -11.9p
2026-09-21	31.0p said 33.9p +2.9p	33.9p said 37.6p +3.7p	46.6p said 57.0p +10.4p	37.7p said 40.3p +2.6p	28.7p said 32.9p +4.2p	37.9p said 42.0p +4.1p
2026-09-20	0.0p said 12.9p +12.9p	8.5p said 11.7p +3.2p	38.4p said 42.1p +3.7p	0.0p said 5.1p +5.1p	0.0p said 0.0p +0.0p	37.3p said 38.1p +0.8p
2026-09-19	1.0p said 1.3p +0.3p	1.6p said 1.8p +0.2p	20.9p said 24.0p +3.0p	0.0p said 0.0p +0.0p	0.0p said 0.0p +0.0p	14.7p said 25.5p +10.9p
2026-09-18	20.8p said 23.3p +2.5p	16.9p said 24.7p +7.8p	35.2p said 41.4p +6.2p	28.1p said 33.4p +5.3p	4.7p said 20.7p +16.0p	24.0p said 22.0p -1.9p
2026-09-17	25.0p said 20.8p -4.1p	18.0p said 23.7p +5.7p	38.7p said 42.7p +4.0p	26.7p said 30.2p +3.5p	2.8p said 13.0p +10.2p	32.0p said 33.3p +1.2p
2026-09-16	29.9p said 30.9p +1.0p	33.9p said 35.5p +1.6p	51.6p said 51.2p -0.4p	36.7p said 35.8p -0.9p	30.8p said 32.1p +1.3p	35.7p said 40.2p +4.5p
2026-09-15	33.0p said 29.9p -3.0p	32.4p said 33.4p +1.0p	50.0p said 50.1p +0.1p	36.8p said 37.3p +0.5p	25.4p said 26.6p +1.3p	38.6p said 39.6p +1.1p
2026-09-14	33.0p said 33.5p +0.5p	34.8p said 37.3p +2.5p	50.4p said 53.0p +2.6p	40.4p said 41.2p +0.8p	29.9p said 33.0p +3.1p	36.6p said 39.9p +3.3p
2026-09-13	31.0p said 29.1p -1.9p	35.4p said 33.0p -2.3p	52.0p said 50.5p -1.5p	34.0p said 31.3p -2.8p	34.1p said 29.7p -4.4p	38.7p said 39.8p +1.2p
2026-09-12	31.3p said 27.5p -3.8p	15.4p said 13.1p -2.3p	40.5p said 42.1p +1.5p	20.5p said 8.2p -12.3p	0.0p said 0.5p +0.5p	35.8p said 36.9p +1.1p
2026-09-11	29.0p said 30.7p +1.8p	35.0p said 35.0p -0.0p	54.9p said 50.3p -4.6p	35.5p said 36.4p +0.9p	29.7p said 31.0p +1.3p	42.5p said 39.7p -2.8p
2026-09-10	30.9p said 29.5p -1.4p	30.4p said 28.5p -2.0p	48.0p said 48.5p +0.5p	35.6p said 31.9p -3.7p	23.2p said 20.1p -3.1p	36.1p said 37.7p +1.6p